Well ended 2021 with nearly 700 profit points after a lucrative 2020, with two winners at 150/1 and many more on top of ensuring it was another year to remember for his followers.
His 2022 tally topped 500 points thanks to a golden summer featuring winners ranging from 25/1 to 200/1, including two on the Korn Ferry Tour as well as 28/1 headliner Cameron Smith in the OpenChampionship.
Now, he will run tournaments beyond the DP World Tour and PGA Tour, as well as first-round leader selections.
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Golf Betting Tips: Additional Members
1pt ew Wilco Nienaber in the lead after R1 at 55/1 (Sky Bet, Unibet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
1pt and Kiradech Aphibarnrat leading after R1 at 66/1 (Unibet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
Sky Bet Odds
Luckily, the Challenge Tour doesn’t return for a few weeks, when the Grand Final takes place in Mallorca. It’s undeniably been a tough run on the second-tier circuit, where stats aren’t released, score tracking is a frustrating exercise and markets aren’t strong. This space will be used differently once the season is over, and I won’t be going back.
For now, the unusual speed of posting DP World Tour tee times means we can take a look at the first round leader market, the one I’ve always loved. The key is to find a way to separate the field and if you can’t, it’s best to avoid it outside of the majors and the extra places they bring. Here at the Mallorca Golf Open, I think we can.
When the first starters set off on Thursday, the wind is expected to be negligible and at its peak should not exceed 10 mph if the forecast proves correct. By contrast – and as is fairly typical on the island – the afternoon is expected to be windy, with gusts of up to 20mph expected until 7pm. This should tip the scales firmly in favor of the first wave and is a great starting point.
I’m also of the opinion, as explained in Monday’s preview, that power may be more advantageous than you think. The scoreboard tells us that it’s a short course and that the warm, mostly calm weather should in theory create a level playing field, but my eye was immediately caught by two par-fours that definitely won’t passable for many, but might be drivable for some.
That is why WILCO NIENABER calls from the very first group on the tee.
Nienaber was selected for the Spanish Open in his last start, where he missed countless chances all week, but especially at the start. Granted, his Thursday score should have been lower, but as the tournament ended, the damage he had caused on the greens became clear – it was his worst display since the 2020 Italian Open.
This club, like the 14 in its bag, is volatile and well able to turn up any day. He had shot before and it’s very hard to know what to expect on Thursday except to say that the way he putt in Madrid is not a good predictor of how he will putt in Mallorca.
What he should do is continue to lead things from the start, like he did last time out and like he has done for most of the year. He’s the longest-serving player on the circuit and one of the top two or three drivers, even when you factor in those off-the-books weeks that are part and parcel of the Nienaber experience.
Its main weakness is a dodgy short game, but to win this market we probably need a player to hit more than 16 greens anyway. Nienaber is very capable of being that man and having placed himself in this market twice in limited starts this year, he is worth a roll of the dice.
So is KIRADECH APHIBARNRATa usual fast starter with three first-round leads in his last 50 starts on the DP World Tour, including a fortnight ago on his Spain debut.
Aphibarnrat had a meal from the 17th hole at Valderrama last Thursday, running an ugly 11, but bounced back with a second-round 68 that only nine players bettered. After missing the cut on the number in Scotland before all that and playing well in France and particularly in Italy, where a 68-67 weekend was among the best on the board, it is clear that he is well placed now back on this circuit.
In the United States this year, all of his good starts have come in weaker fields and, as the type of player who benefits from blind following in this market, one who drives well and puts even better, he has all the tools to enjoy it. an early departure time. If anything, leaving him out of the outright staking plan was a reflection of him saying he’s exhausted before his 30th year start, which is all the more reason to suggest that a turn rather than four is the more realistic request.
I also want to mention Sebastian Heisele, who would have been selected at slightly higher prices. This hard-hitting German shot 62 in the second round of the European Masters two starts ago and found his driver in sync, making him exactly the type to go out and shoot a low number for all he struggling for form after a difficult spell with injuries.
Dubai-based Heisele finished ninth in the Canary Islands Championship last year and fourth place at Chervo, a course that shares the same designer as this one, is a pretty nice line of form. He was also second here in Mallorca in the Challenge Tour Grand Final and is worth considering if his three-ball price tag is high, with Haydn Porteous struggling for form badly and Alvaro Quiros a player you’d be happy to take on if you can get 2/1.
Finally, a quick word on some of the top player markets.
Outright pick Niklas Lemke is a fair price to be the pick of four Swedes, but I’m a little scared to go up against Sebastian Soderberg, whose long game continues to hint at a great performance at some point.
Renato Paratore has a good chance in four of being the best of the four Italians, with only Francesco Laporta likely to cause him problems, but this has only been noted by a small number of companies and is therefore excluded from the plan of staking.
And last but not least, Romain Langasque looks a vulnerable favorite in a top-tier French market that includes a few players likely to be upstaged and at least one with a propensity to step down, particularly if there’s a trip. local fishing boat about to leave.
As such, I was drawn to Raphael Jacquelin on an exceptional 25/1 with three spots available. He has fond memories of Spain, has been in the halfway mix on his last four visits including the last time, has produced several sharp iron displays this year and should be able to compete on a course under 7,000 yards – although power is ultimately key.
Posted 4:35pm BST on 10/18/22